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2024-12-13 05:47:03

Everbright Securities: The effect of trade-in subsidy for the whole year is much better than expected. Everbright Securities released a research report saying that the Politburo proposed to implement more relaxed policies, vigorously boost consumption and lead the development of new quality productivity. The intelligent direction of the automobile industry not only conforms to the development tone, but also plays an important role in boosting consumption. At the same time, the industry involves the "two new" themes of large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods, and the bank continues to be optimistic about investment opportunities in the automobile sector driven by favorable policies.ADB lowered the growth forecast of developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region to maintain China's economic growth forecast. On December 11th, the Asian Development Bank issued the Asia Development Outlook 2024 (December Edition). According to the report, the development momentum in the Asia-Pacific region is steady, but as US President-elect Trump is about to take office, changes in his trade, finance and immigration policies may inhibit the development of the Asia-Pacific region and aggravate inflation. ADB lowered its growth forecast for developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region from the previous 5.0% to 4.9% in 2024, and from the previous 4.9% to 4.8% in 2025. China's economic growth is expected to remain at 4.8% and 4.5% in 2024 and 2025 respectively, which is the same as before.SpaceX is valued at about $350 billion due to internal stock sales. According to an email sent to employees seen by the media, SpaceX and its investors have agreed to acquire the company's common stock of up to $1.25 billion at a price of $185 per share. This transaction values elon musk's rocket and satellite manufacturer at about $350 billion.


New Zealand appoints WINSTON PETERS as Minister of Railways.Trump said that individuals or companies that invest more than $1 billion in the United States will get accelerated approval. US President-elect Trump wrote in a post on his social media Truth Social on Tuesday: "Any individual or company that invests more than $1 billion in the United States will get comprehensive and accelerated approval and permission, including but not limited to all environmental approvals." This is the latest sign that Trump intends to relax the supervision of federal agencies and attract more foreign investment during his second term.Argentine President Millai: Argentina will abolish capital controls next year.


CITIC Securities: More positive policy signals are expected to drive the market of resource products. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting released more positive policy signals, and the improvement of the real economy is expected to boost the prices of upstream resource products and lead the sector to return to the upward trend. It is suggested to focus on three main lines: 1) improving the fundamentals of general steel, coking coal, copper-aluminum basic metals and chemicals with strong consumption attributes; 2) Bonus varieties such as crude oil and thermal coal under favorable market liquidity; 3) Growing varieties such as lithium and rare earth under the favorable market style.Japan's producer price in November increased by 0.3% month-on-month, and it is estimated to increase by 0.2%. Japan's producer price in November increased by 3.7% year-on-year, and it is estimated to increase by 3.4%.Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.

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